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The Gulf of Mexico track of Hurricane Beryl in July 2024. Rosencrans also noted that Hurricane Milton set records for the most rapidly intensifying storm in the Atlantic.
Hurricane season takes place from June to November each year. Here, brush up on the NOAA's 2024 hurricane season prediction.
Significant track errors still occur on occasion, as seen in this Ernesto (2006) early forecast. The NHC official forecast is light blue, while the storm's actual track is the white line over Florida. A tropical cyclone forecast model is a computer program that uses meteorological data to forecast aspects of the future state of tropical cyclones.
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season was a very active and extremely destructive Atlantic hurricane season that became the third-costliest on record, behind only 2017 and 2005. The season featured 18 named storms , 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes ; it was also the first since 2019 to feature multiple Category 5 hurricanes .
The NHC official forecast is light blue, while the storm's actual track is the white line over Florida. The Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System ( ATCF ) is a piece of software originally developed to run on a personal computer for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) in 1988, [ 1 ] and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in 1990.
What to expect this 2024 hurricane season The NOAA predicts between 17 and 25 named storms this season, with 8 to 13 becoming hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or higher.
By comparison, 2023’s hurricane activity was about 120 per cent of the average season and ranked fourth in the 70 years of record-keeping for the Atlantic basin, with 20 named storms.
In early 2024, hurricane forecasters predicted a highly-active season, citing the La Niña effect and warm sea surface temperatures. [7] After the earliest-forming Category 5 hurricane on record, Hurricane Beryl , the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) maintained this prediction through August. [ 8 ]