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Statistical Football prediction is a method used in sports betting, to predict the outcome of football matches by means of statistical tools. The goal of statistical match prediction is to outperform the predictions of bookmakers [citation needed] [dubious – discuss], who use them to set odds on the outcome of football matches.
Arbitrage betting involves relatively large sums of money, given that 98% of arbitrage opportunities return less than 1.2%. [2] The practice is usually detected quickly by bookmakers, who typically hold an unfavorable view of it, [3] and in the past this could result in half of an arbitrage bet being canceled, or even the closure of the bettor's account.
Parlay bets are paid out at odds higher than the typical single game bet, but still below the "true" odds. For instance, a common two-team NFL parlay based entirely on the spread generally has a payout of 2.64:1. In reality, however, if one assumes that each single game bet is 50/50, the true payout should instead be 3:1.
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A Don't Pass bet is a bet for the shooter to lose ("seven out, line away") and is almost the opposite of the Pass line bet. [3]: 110–112 Like the Pass bet, this bet must be at least the table minimum and at most the table maximum. If the come-out roll is 3, the bet wins. If the come-out roll is 7 or 11, the bet loses.
For the place part of the bet to give a return, the selection must either win or finish in one of the predetermined places for the event, such as first place or second place. The odds paid on the place part of the bet are usually a fraction (commonly 1 ⁄ 2, 1 ⁄ 3, 1 ⁄ 4 or 1 ⁄ 5) of the win odds. The trade-off being that one has a ...
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A betting strategy (also known as betting system) is a structured approach to gambling, in the attempt to produce a profit. To be successful, the system must change the house edge into a player advantage — which is impossible for pure games of probability with fixed odds, akin to a perpetual motion machine. [ 1 ]