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The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
In a 2023 examination of hundreds of U.S. election polls dating back to 1998, FiveThirtyEight senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich found that pollsters accurately predicted the winner only 78 ...
Trump Media & Technology Group stock extended gains on Wednesday, rising over 4% as investors bet on former President Donald Trump's improved odds of winning the November election in less than two ...
Trump wins on stock market performance, real-income growth, and low inflation. If the economy holds up during the rest of 2024, as most economists expect, Biden will sustain that 4-3 advantage in ...
The 2020 Democratic National Convention was scheduled to be held at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, but it was moved to the nearby Wisconsin Center due to the COVID-19 pandemic. [3] [4] Polls of Wisconsin in the lead-up to election day showed a clear Biden lead, averaging in the high single digits.
Biden and other Democratic candidates began election night with a wide lead in the state, and at the time Fox News called Arizona for Biden, he led by 210,259 votes (53.9% to 44.9%). [205] The reporting in Arizona was the reverse of a ' red mirage ' and 'blue shift' effect seen nationwide, where the counting of election day votes before early ...
A looming election rematch next year between U.S. President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump would be closely fought, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll found, with both candidates saddled with ...