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  2. Conditional expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_expectation

    In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...

  3. Conditioning (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditioning_(probability)

    Conditional probabilities, conditional expectations, and conditional probability distributions are treated on three levels: discrete probabilities, probability density functions, and measure theory. Conditioning leads to a non-random result if the condition is completely specified; otherwise, if the condition is left random, the result of ...

  4. Regular conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regular_conditional...

    In probability theory, regular conditional probability is a concept that formalizes the notion of conditioning on the outcome of a random variable. The resulting conditional probability distribution is a parametrized family of probability measures called a Markov kernel .

  5. Expected value - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

    Conditional expectation; Expectation (epistemic) Expectile – related to expectations in a way analogous to that in which quantiles are related to medians; Law of total expectation – the expected value of the conditional expected value of X given Y is the same as the expected value of X; Median – indicated by in a drawing above

  6. Tail value at risk - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tail_value_at_risk

    In financial mathematics, tail value at risk (TVaR), also known as tail conditional expectation (TCE) or conditional tail expectation (CTE), is a risk measure associated with the more general value at risk. It quantifies the expected value of the loss given that an event outside a given probability level has occurred.

  7. Method of conditional probabilities - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Method_of_conditional...

    To do this, instead of computing the conditional probability of failure, the algorithm computes the conditional expectation of Q and proceeds accordingly: at each interior node, there is some child whose conditional expectation is at most (at least) the node's conditional expectation; the algorithm moves from the current node to such a child ...

  8. Conditional variance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_variance

    In words: the variance of Y is the sum of the expected conditional variance of Y given X and the variance of the conditional expectation of Y given X. The first term captures the variation left after "using X to predict Y", while the second term captures the variation due to the mean of the prediction of Y due to the randomness of X.

  9. Cumulant - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cumulant

    Conditional cumulants and the conditional expectation. For certain settings, a derivative identity can be established between the conditional cumulant and the ...