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An estimate that turns out to be incorrect will be an overestimate if the estimate exceeds the actual result [3] and an underestimate if the estimate falls short of the actual result. [ 4 ] The confidence in an estimate is quantified as a confidence interval , the likelihood that the estimate is in a certain range.
Twinkl was founded by husband and wife Jonathan and Susie Seaton. [2] [3] Susie, a primary school teacher, had noticed there was a lack of ready-made, high-quality educational materials and classroom content available to teachers.
Guesstimate is an informal English portmanteau of guess and estimate, first used by American statisticians in 1934 [1] or 1935. [2] It is defined as an estimate made without using adequate or complete information, [3] [4] or, more strongly, as an estimate arrived at by guesswork or conjecture.
An estimand is a quantity that is to be estimated in a statistical analysis. [1] The term is used to distinguish the target of inference from the method used to obtain an approximation of this target (i.e., the estimator) and the specific value obtained from a given method and dataset (i.e., the estimate). [2]
Thus one will expect to be within 1 ⁄ 8 to 8 times the correct value – within an order of magnitude, and much less than the worst case of erring by a factor of 2 9 = 512 (about 2.71 orders of magnitude). If one has a shorter chain or estimates more accurately, the overall estimate will be correspondingly better.
Bias is a property of the estimator, not of the estimate. Often, people refer to a "biased estimate" or an "unbiased estimate", but they really are talking about an "estimate from a biased estimator", or an "estimate from an unbiased estimator". Also, people often confuse the "error" of a single estimate with the "bias" of an estimator.
Basis of estimate (BOE) is a tool used in the field of project management by which members of the project team, usually estimators, project managers, or cost analysts, calculate the total cost of the project.
In statistics and in particular statistical theory, unbiased estimation of a standard deviation is the calculation from a statistical sample of an estimated value of the standard deviation (a measure of statistical dispersion) of a population of values, in such a way that the expected value of the calculation equals the true value.