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A new poll shows former President Trump leading Vice President Harris by only 2 points in Florida ahead of what could be a tighter-than-expected race in the red state in November. Trump leads ...
September 13–16, 2024 1,102 (RV) ± 3% 50%: 48% 2% 2%: Angus Reid [111] September 13–16, 2024 1,707 (RV) ± 2% 49%: 45% 6% 4%: Daily Mail/J.L. Partners [112] September 11–16, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43%: 42% 15% 1%: NYTimes/Siena College [113] September 11–16, 2024 2,437 (LV) ± 3.8% 47%: 47%: 6% — Morning Consult [22] [114] September ...
A Florida Atlantic University poll from last month had Trump’s lead in the Sunshine State at just 3 points, and a poll from two Texas universities had Trump leading in the Lone Star State by 5 ...
The 2024 presidential election will decide control of the White House, Senate, House of Representatives, statewide offices and ballot measures on key issues in many states. This is a guide by poll ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019 [119]) carried the state again by 3.4 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida.
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The Republican National Committee determined that candidates must qualify for the first primary debate by polling above 1% in three national polls since July 2023 – or in two national polls and one poll from two different early primary states (of which the polls must meet committee standards) – as well as attract donations from at least 40,000 individuals, with at least 200 from each of 20 ...