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In probability theory, a martingale is a sequence of random variables (i.e., a stochastic process) for which, at a particular time, the conditional expectation of the next value in the sequence is equal to the present value, regardless of all prior values. Stopped Brownian motion is an example of a martingale. It can model an even coin-toss ...
By construction, this implies that if is a martingale, then = will be an MDS—hence the name. The MDS is an extremely useful construct in modern probability theory because it implies much milder restrictions on the memory of the sequence than independence , yet most limit theorems that hold for an independent sequence will also hold for an MDS.
A martingale is a discrete-time or continuous-time stochastic process with the property that, at every instant, given the current value and all the past values of the process, the conditional expectation of every future value is equal to the current value.
The martingale representation theorem can be used to establish the existence of a hedging strategy. Suppose that ( M t ) 0 ≤ t < ∞ {\displaystyle \left(M_{t}\right)_{0\leq t<\infty }} is a Q-martingale process, whose volatility σ t {\displaystyle \sigma _{t}} is always non-zero.
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In the mathematical theory of probability, a Doob martingale (named after Joseph L. Doob, [1] also known as a Levy martingale) is a stochastic process that approximates a given random variable and has the martingale property with respect to the given filtration. It may be thought of as the evolving sequence of best approximations to the random ...
Martingale Wharf restaurant at 99 Bow Street in Portsmouth can move ahead with plans for an expanded deck.
A real valued process X defined on the filtered probability space (Ω,F,(F t) t ≥ 0,P) is called a semimartingale if it can be decomposed as = + where M is a local martingale and A is a càdlàg adapted process of locally bounded variation.