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  2. Conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability

    However, the conditional probability P(A|B 1) = 1, P(A|B 2) = 0.12 ÷ (0.12 + 0.04) = 0.75, and P(A|B 3) = 0. On a tree diagram, branch probabilities are conditional on the event associated with the parent node. (Here, the overbars indicate that the event does not occur.) Venn Pie Chart describing conditional probabilities

  3. Conditional probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability...

    Then the unconditional probability that = is 3/6 = 1/2 (since there are six possible rolls of the dice, of which three are even), whereas the probability that = conditional on = is 1/3 (since there are three possible prime number rolls—2, 3, and 5—of which one is even).

  4. Probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution

    Therefore, the probability distribution function of the position of a particle is described by () = | (,) |, probability that the particle's position x will be in the interval a ≤ x ≤ b in dimension one, and a similar triple integral in dimension three. This is a key principle of quantum mechanics.

  5. Conditional independence - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_independence

    In probability theory, conditional independence describes situations wherein an observation is irrelevant or redundant when evaluating the certainty of a hypothesis. . Conditional independence is usually formulated in terms of conditional probability, as a special case where the probability of the hypothesis given the uninformative observation is equal to the probability

  6. Law of total probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_probability

    The term law of total probability is sometimes taken to mean the law of alternatives, which is a special case of the law of total probability applying to discrete random variables. [ citation needed ] One author uses the terminology of the "Rule of Average Conditional Probabilities", [ 4 ] while another refers to it as the "continuous law of ...

  7. Chain rule (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chain_rule_(probability)

    This rule allows one to express a joint probability in terms of only conditional probabilities. [4] The rule is notably used in the context of discrete stochastic processes and in applications, e.g. the study of Bayesian networks, which describe a probability distribution in terms of conditional probabilities.

  8. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    The opposite or complement of an event A is the event [not A] (that is, the event of A not occurring), often denoted as ′,, ¯,,, or ; its probability is given by P(not A) = 1 − P(A). [31] As an example, the chance of not rolling a six on a six-sided die is 1 – (chance of rolling a six) = 1 − ⁠ 1 / 6 ⁠ = ⁠ 5 / 6 ⁠ .

  9. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    P(A) is the proportion of outcomes with property A (the prior) and P(B) is the proportion with property B. P(B | A) is the proportion of outcomes with property B out of outcomes with property A, and P(A | B) is the proportion of those with A out of those with B (the posterior). The role of Bayes' theorem can be shown with tree diagrams.

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