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  2. Checking whether a coin is fair - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checking_whether_a_coin_is...

    The practical problem of checking whether a coin is fair might be considered as easily solved by performing a sufficiently large number of trials, but statistics and probability theory can provide guidance on two types of question; specifically those of how many trials to undertake and of the accuracy of an estimate of the probability of ...

  3. Bertrand's box paradox - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bertrand's_box_paradox

    The selection of one box from the three boxes and the selection of one drawer and its coin of the selected box have already occurred. The question asks what is the probability of an outcome after it has occurred. But the probabilities 1/2 and 2/3 are answers to the question of what is the probability of the outcome before it has occurred.

  4. Monty Hall problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

    After choosing a box at random and withdrawing one coin at random that happens to be a gold coin, the question is what is the probability that the other coin is gold. As in the Monty Hall problem, the intuitive answer is ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ , but the probability is actually ⁠ 2 / 3 ⁠ .

  5. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. [note 1] [1] [2] A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin. Since the ...

  6. Sleeping Beauty problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem

    These questions ask for the probability of two different events, and thus can have different answers, even though both events are causally dependent on the coin landing heads. (This fact is even more obvious when one considers the complementary questions: "what is the probability that two red balls were placed in the box" and "what is the ...

  7. Gambler's fallacy - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy

    A study by Fischbein and Schnarch in 1997 administered a questionnaire to five groups: students in grades 5, 7, 9, 11, and college students specializing in teaching mathematics. None of the participants had received any prior education regarding probability. The question asked was: "Ronni flipped a coin three times and in all cases heads came up.

  8. Coupon collector's problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coupon_collector's_problem

    In probability theory, the coupon collector's problem refers to mathematical analysis of "collect all coupons and win" contests. It asks the following question: if each box of a given product (e.g., breakfast cereals) contains a coupon, and there are n different types of coupons, what is the probability that more than t boxes need to be bought ...

  9. Fair coin - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fair_coin

    A fair coin, when tossed, should have an equal chance of landing either side up. In probability theory and statistics, a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials with probability 1/2 of success on each trial is metaphorically called a fair coin. One for which the probability is not 1/2 is called a biased or unfair coin.

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