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Bond yields soared after the Fed's summary of economic projections and Powell's remarks indicated just two rate cuts in 2025. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked 10 basis points to 4.49%.
The I bonds current rate of 3.11% is the lowest since early 2021, when inflation started to rise, bringing I bond rates with it. The previous combined I bond rate from May to November 2024 was 4. ...
In commodities, bonds, and crypto: West Texas Intermediate crude oil dipped 1% to $71.03 a barrel. Brent crude , the international benchmark, was lower by 1.01% to $75.27 a barrel.
The FFR sat around 4.4% in 2022, and at the time the Fed foreshadowed that the rate would not be lowered until 2024 at the earliest. [16] [17] In Sept. 2024, the Fed lowered its benchmark rate for the first time since 2020 by 50 basis points. [18]
To sell to a new investor the bond must be priced for a current yield of 5.56%. The annual bond coupon should increase from $5 to $5.56 but the coupon can't change as only the bond price can change. So the bond is priced approximately at $100 - $0.56 or $99.44 .
That, in turn, has pushed up the yield on corporate bonds, since virtually all forms of lending use Treasury bonds as their benchmark rate. Currently, yields on Aaa corporate bonds have passed 5.1% .
The bond market has largely been dominated by the United States, which accounts for about 39% of the market. As of 2021, the size of the bond market (total debt outstanding) is estimated to be at $119 trillion worldwide and $46 trillion for the US market, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA). [1]
That’s up from the third-quarter 2024 prediction of 3.53 percent, but still slightly under 4.53 percent, the current trailing-12-month yield of the 10-year Treasury.
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