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Business cycles are intervals of general expansion followed by recession in economic performance. The changes in economic activity that characterize business cycles have important implications for the welfare of the general population, government institutions, and private sector firms. There are many definitions of a business cycle.
Combining the growth cycle approach and other econometric techniques such as the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the industry cycles in the global semiconductor, PCs and flat panel display industries in the past decades are identified. [17] Industry cycles can be further measured using techniques such as the Fourier analysis. For example, three most ...
Real business-cycle theory (RBC theory) is a class of new classical macroeconomics models in which business-cycle fluctuations are accounted for by real, in contrast to nominal, shocks. [1] RBC theory sees business cycle fluctuations as the efficient response to exogenous changes in the real economic environment.
Kondratiev supposed that in 1896 a new cycle had started. The long cycle supposedly affects all sectors of an economy. Kondratiev focused on prices and interest rates, seeing the ascendant phase as characterized by an increase in prices and low interest rates while the other phase consists of a decrease in prices and high interest rates ...
The Kitchin cycle is a short business cycle of about 40 months, identified in the 1920s by Joseph Kitchin. [ 1 ] This cycle is believed to be accounted for by time lags in information movement, affecting the decision making of commercial firms.
The overall business outlook for an industry looks optimistic during the economic recovery phase. During the recovery period, the economy goes through a process of economic adaptation and change to new circumstances, including the reasons that caused the recession in the first place, as well as the new policies and regulations enacted by ...
This is a list of recurring cycles. See also Index of wave articles ... Business cycle – Inflation / Recession – Monetary policy – Virtuous circle and vicious ...
Unemployment has a short-run cyclical component which depends on the business cycle, and a more permanent structural component, which can be loosely thought of as the average unemployment rate in an economy over extended periods, [6] and which is often termed the natural [6] or structural [7] [5]: 167 rate of unemployment.