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To that point, the most critical swing states are all on a knife’s edge in the polls: Based on our latest state polling averages, Harris leads by around 1 to 2 points in Michigan, Nevada ...
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...
Here is a look at some recent polls from the swing states along with previous election results: Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump with 4 days to go đź“ŠATLAS ...
Seven states could flip the results of the 2024 presidential election. See the latest polling as voters head to the polls on Tuesday and the race comes to an end.
The final batch of major national polls and swing state surveys shows the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and ... Final Yahoo News/YouGov election poll: ... FiveThirtyEight. Harris: 47.9%.
Assuming the polls accurately reflect the final results in the states, Trump would win in Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona and win the election with 287 electoral votes.
Many presidential elections have seen most states swing in the same direction. ... According to 538's forecast, ... As election results are tabulated, the results we have so far for Texas's 28th ...