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A state diagram for a simple example is shown in the figure on the right, using a directed graph to picture the state transitions. The states represent whether a hypothetical stock market is exhibiting a bull market, bear market, or stagnant market trend during a given week. According to the figure, a bull week is followed by another bull week ...
A continuous-time Markov chain (X t) t ≥ 0 is defined by a finite or countable state space S, a transition rate matrix Q with dimensions equal to that of the state space and initial probability distribution defined on the state space.
In mathematics, a stochastic matrix is a square matrix used to describe the transitions of a Markov chain. Each of its entries is a nonnegative real number representing a probability. [1] [2]: 10 It is also called a probability matrix, transition matrix, substitution matrix, or Markov matrix.
This process can be described statistically using Markov Chains. For a nondeterministic finite-state machine, an input may cause the machine to be in more than one state, hence its non-determinism. This is denoted in a state-transition table by the set of all target states enclosed in a pair of braces {}. An example of a state-transition table ...
A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix. An equivalent formulation describes the process as changing state according to ...
In probability theory, a transition-rate matrix (also known as a Q-matrix, [1] intensity matrix, [2] or infinitesimal generator matrix [3]) is an array of numbers describing the instantaneous rate at which a continuous-time Markov chain transitions between states.
In this context, the Markov property indicates that the distribution for this variable depends only on the distribution of a previous state. An example use of a Markov chain is Markov chain Monte Carlo, which uses the Markov property to prove that a particular method for performing a random walk will sample from the joint distribution.
For a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) with transition rate matrix, if can be found such that for every pair of states and π i q i j = π j q j i {\displaystyle \pi _{i}q_{ij}=\pi _{j}q_{ji}} holds, then by summing over j {\displaystyle j} , the global balance equations are satisfied and π {\displaystyle \pi } is the stationary ...