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The Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM), often known as the CMC model in North America, is an integrated forecasting and data assimilation system developed in the Recherche en Prévision Numérique (RPN), Meteorological Research Branch (MRB), and the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC).
The GME was replaced by the ICON (Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic) model on 20 January 2015. ICON uses the same icosahedral approach, but has a higher resolution at 13 km. [2] [3] Various unofficial websites distribute ICON model data, including Tropical Tidbits and Windy. In 2021 ICON-D2 and ICON-EU models were released.
Four primary types of forecasts exist for tropical cyclones: track, intensity, storm surge, and rainfall. Dynamical models were not developed until the 1970s and the 1980s, with earlier efforts focused on the storm surge problem. Track models did not show forecast skill when compared to statistical models until the 1980s. Statistical-dynamical ...
Tropical Storm Joyce spaghetti models. Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest ...
Spaghetti models for Tropical Depression 12. At 11 a.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 34.8 West. ... Isaac is slowly weakening and is ...
Tropical Storm Helene spaghetti models Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest ...
HWRF 96-hour (4-day) forecast for Hurricane Katrina heading for New Orleans in 2005. The Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model is a specialized version of the weather research and forecasting model and is used to forecast the track and intensity of tropical cyclones.
No current forecast models run at a small enough grid scale (1 km or smaller) to be able to detect the absolute maxima measured within tropical cyclones. Of the United States forecasting models, the best performing model for tropical cyclone rainfall forecasting is known as the GFS, or Global Forecasting System. [17]