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In an August 2024 report, J.P. Morgan analysts revealed that there's a 35% chance the U.S. will fall into a recession by the end of this year. The probability of a recession by the end of 2025 ...
In June 2023, the New York Fed’s model — which calculates recession probabilities based on the yield spread between 10-year Treasury bonds and three-month bills — estimated a 70% chance of a ...
Things might change (for the worse) in 2025, though. The Federal Reserve puts the probability of a recession in the next 12 months at 42%. That's not an overwhelmingly high percentage, but it's ...
The Handelsblatt Research Institute reports that the German economy is in its "greatest crisis in post-war history" after projecting that the economy will enter its third year of recession in 2025 with a 0.1% contraction, following a 0.3% contraction in both 2023 and 2024. Disasters and accidents
Patient investors can (and I'd argue should) buy stocks in 2025, regardless of whether or not a recession is coming. The most important lesson history teaches is that the S&P 500 rises over the ...
The 119th United States Congress began at 12 p.m. EST on January 3, 2025, following the adjournment of the 118th Congress. [8] Leading up to an election to elect the speaker of the House, incumbent representative Mike Johnson of Louisiana's bid appeared uncertain amid opposition from the Freedom Caucus despite an endorsement from Trump. [9]
Fears of a recession or an unsustainably top-heavy S&P 500 seem to be in the rearview mirror. JPMorgan estimates a roughly 10% increase in the S&P 500 for 2025, according to an analyst forecast ...
Jim Paulsen says he expects a 10%-15% stock market correction next year. The market veteran thinks investors are overlooking the risk of an economic slowdown.
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