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Allan Lichtman, who has a near-perfect record of predicting presidential elections over the past 40 years, announced his pick this week for November’s showdown between Republican Donald Trump ...
Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year. Spoiler ...
The so-called “Nostradamus of polling” has said that an October surprise wouldn’t change his prediction that Donald Trump will lose to Kamala Harris in the 2024 election.. Historian Allan ...
“My prediction has not changed,” Lichtman said on his YouTube channel. “I have frequently made my prediction correctly in defiance of the polls, it’s based on 160 years of precedent.”
On September 5, 2024, Lichtman predicted that Harris would win the election. [55] On November 6, 2024, contrary to Lichtman's prediction, Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election. [8] This was the first time Lichtman failed to correctly predict both the popular vote and the Electoral College outcome.
Allan Lichtman's prediction on whether Trump or Harris will win the 2024 presidential election based on his 13 keys for a successful election campaign.
The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
Lichtman shared the two major reasons his "13 Keys to the White House" prediction system failed this year, including disdain for the Biden-Harris administration and Harris' delayed campaign start ...