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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the...
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
538 has released Senate polling averages for the general election. September 24, 2024. Are Republicans still talking about abortion? Swing-district Republicans downplayed abortion in the 2024 primaries. September 20, 2024. How Democrats could finally win North Carolina in 2024.
Sources: Polling averages by The New York Times. Individual polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The Times.
Latest Polls. Check out our popular polling averages. Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election polling average. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Generic...
ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT. Today we launched our general election polling averages, nationally and for all states with a sufficient number of polls. Recent polls show former Vice President...
We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998...
FiveThirtyEight’s polling average of the Virginia race now has McAuliffe at 47.6 percent and Youngkin at 46.1 percent. New Jersey will also host a gubernatorial race on Tuesday.
It's the moment you've all been waiting for: Today, 538 launched our interactive polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election. They show incumbent President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump essentially tied in national polls and Trump with a tenuous lead in key swing states.