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  2. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    2.2 The ground game and "On the ... poll based on the pollster's historical track ... a pickup of 6 seats in the Senate and 63 seats in the House. [538 44] ...

  3. Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis

    www.aol.com/undecided-races-2024-election-live...

    So we at 538 are settling in for the long haul with this live blog dedicated to all the outstanding races of the 2024 election. Join us for live updates, analysis and commentary until the last ...

  4. How 538's 2024 House election forecast works - AOL

    www.aol.com/538s-2024-house-election-forecast...

    On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...

  5. Who is winning the 2024 presidential election? What national ...

    www.aol.com/winning-2024-presidential-election...

    ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls with 48.4% to Trump's 45.9% versus the very close Pennsylvania poll that has Harris at 47.8% and Trump at 47.3%

  6. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    [3] [104] Silver retained the IP of 538's election forecasting model as he left, [105] and in June 2024, released his own election forecasting model at Silver Bulletin, using methodology similar to his model at 538. [3] [106] In June 2024, Silver joined the prediction market startup Polymarket as an advisor. [4]

  7. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden, won the Democratic primaries.

  8. Will Trump take swing state Pennsylvania? What the ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/trump-swing-state-pennsylvania-poll...

    Pennsylvania is considered essential to winning the White House, with both Trump and Harris hoping to sweep up the state’s 19 Electoral College votes on Election Night.

  9. 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_House...

    The elections coincided with the Colorado gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections. District boundaries were redrawn to ensure that the districts are apportioned based on data from the 2020 census , which added an eighth seat to ...