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  2. Correlated equilibrium - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlated_equilibrium

    The expected payoff for this equilibrium is 7(1/3) + 2(1/3) + 6(1/3) = 5 which is higher than the expected payoff of the mixed strategy Nash equilibrium. The following correlated equilibrium has an even higher payoff to both players: Recommend (C, C) with probability 1/2, and (D, C) and (C, D) with probability 1/4 each

  3. Nash equilibrium - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nash_equilibrium

    The concept of a mixed-strategy equilibrium was introduced by John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern in their 1944 book The Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, but their analysis was restricted to the special case of zero-sum games. They showed that a mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium will exist for any zero-sum game with a finite set of ...

  4. Rationalizable strategy - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rationalizable_strategy

    The expected payoff for playing strategy ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ Y + ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ Z must be greater than the expected payoff for playing pure strategy X, assigning ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ and ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ as tester values. The argument for mixed strategy dominance can be made if there is at least one mixed strategy that allows for dominance.

  5. Kuhn's theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kuhn's_theorem

    In game theory, Kuhn's theorem relates perfect recall, mixed and unmixed strategies and their expected payoffs. It is named after Harold W. Kuhn.. The theorem states that in a game where players may remember all of their previous moves/states of the game available to them, for every mixed strategy there is a behavioral strategy that has an equivalent payoff (i.e. the strategies are equivalent).

  6. All-pay auction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All-pay_auction

    In the simplest version, there is complete information. The Nash equilibrium is such that each bidder plays a mixed strategy and expected pay-offs are zero. [2] The seller's expected revenue is equal to the value of the prize. However, some economic experiments and studies have shown that over-bidding is common. That is, the seller's revenue ...

  7. Monte Carlo methods for option pricing - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_methods_for...

    Here the price of the option is its discounted expected value; see risk neutrality and rational pricing. The technique applied then, is (1) to generate a large number of possible, but random, price paths for the underlying (or underlyings) via simulation, and (2) to then calculate the associated exercise value (i.e. "payoff") of the option for ...

  8. Proper equilibrium - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proper_equilibrium

    Given a normal form game and a parameter >, a totally mixed strategy profile is defined to be -proper if, whenever a player has two pure strategies s and s' such that the expected payoff of playing s is smaller than the expected payoff of playing s' (that is (,) < (′,)), then the probability assigned to s is at most times the probability assigned to s'.

  9. Normal-form game - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal-form_game

    A payoff function for a player is a mapping from the cross-product of players' strategy spaces to that player's set of payoffs (normally the set of real numbers, where the number represents a cardinal or ordinal utility—often cardinal in the normal-form representation) of a player, i.e. the payoff function of a player takes as its input a ...