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This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance. As of December 2024, all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 5 m (16 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.
Asteroid impact prediction is the prediction of the dates and times of asteroids impacting Earth, along with the locations and severities of the impacts. The process of impact prediction follows three major steps: Discovery of an asteroid and initial assessment of its orbit which is generally based on a short observation arc of less than 2 weeks.
By comparison, the February 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor impact was from an object estimated at 17 m (60 ft) diameter. Its arrival direction happened to be close to the Sun [32] and it therefore was in the blind spot of any Earth-based visible light warning system. A similar object arriving from a dark direction would now be detected by ATLAS a few ...
Satellites in geostationary orbit. From the list in the first section, these are the closest known asteroids per year that approach Earth within one lunar distance.More than one asteroid per year may be listed if its geocentric distance [note 1] is within a tenth of the lunar distance, or 0.10 LD.
The June Boötids (shower #170 JBO) are a meteor shower occurring every year between 22 June and 2 July that peaks around June 27. In most years their activity is weak, with a zenithal hourly rate (ZHR) of only 1 or 2. However, occasional outbursts have been seen, with the outburst of 1916 drawing attention to the previously unrecorded meteor ...
The Arietids, along with the Zeta Perseids, are the most intense daylight meteor showers of the year. [3] The source of the shower is unknown, but scientists suspect that they come from the asteroid 1566 Icarus , [ 3 ] [ 4 ] although the orbit also corresponds similarly to 96P/Machholz .
There are two branches of the Delta Aquariid meteor shower, Southern and Northern. The Southern Delta Aquariids are considered a strong shower, with an average meteor observation rate of 15–20 per hour, and a peak zenithal hourly rate of 18. The average radiant is at RA=339°, DEC=−17°.
Long-period comet C/2023 P1 (Nishimura) has been suggested to be the parent body of the meteor shower and came to perihelion (closest approach to the Sun) in September 2023. There is a chance of increased activity during the 2023 meteor shower if Earth passes through older meteoroid streams (such as 1591) [ 3 ] that have had time to spread out ...