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  2. Black swan theory - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory

    A black swan (Cygnus atratus) in Australia. The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on a Latin expression which presumed that black swans did ...

  3. Wild card (foresight) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wild_card_(foresight)

    Nicholas stresses therefore the surprising side and unpredictability of the black swan as well as their certainty (or unavoidability). Another concept that comes close to the concept of wild cards and black swans is the tipping point of Malcolm Gladwell's The Tipping Point, which actually is a special form of a wild card that realizes itself by ...

  4. Black swan emblems and popular culture - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Swan_emblems_and...

    The Roman satirist Juvenal wrote in AD 82 of rara avis in terris nigroque simillima cygno ("a rare bird in the lands, and very like a black swan"). [6] He meant something whose rarity would compare with that of a black swan, or in other words, as a black swan was not thought to exist, neither did the supposed characteristics of the "rare bird" with which it was being compared.

  5. Experts puzzle over why Bayesian yacht sank. Was it a 'black ...

    www.aol.com/experts-puzzle-over-why-bayesian...

    A perfect storm led to Bayesian sinking, experts say. The combination of unlikely factors that could have contributed to the ship's fate constituted a "black swan event," Matthew Schanck, chairman ...

  6. Template:Black Swan class sloop - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Black_Swan_class...

    This template's initial visibility currently defaults to autocollapse, meaning that if there is another collapsible item on the page (a navbox, sidebar, or table with the collapsible attribute), it is hidden apart from its title bar; if not, it is fully visible. To change this template's initial visibility, the |state= parameter may be used:

  7. ‘The Black Swan’ author is really afraid of what’s happening ...

    www.aol.com/finance/black-swan-author-really...

    Nassim Taleb, who wrote the book The Black Swan about unpredictable events, is worried about the role of the U.S. dollar in global finance.. It stems from Western sanctions that froze Russian ...

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