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The 4% rule is based on a 90% probability that your money will be enough for your whole retirement. But if you're OK with more uncertainty, you might be able to withdraw 5% or 6% a year.
Here's how the 4% rule works in practice: If you have $1 million in retirement savings, you'd withdraw $40,000 in your first year (or 4% of $1 million). In subsequent years, you'd adjust this ...
The 4% rule says to take out 4% of your tax-deferred accounts — like your 401(k) — in your first year of retirement. Then every year after that, you increase your retirement withdrawals by the ...
A common rule of thumb for withdrawal rate is 4%, based on 20th century American investment returns, and first articulated in Bengen (1994). [14] Bengen later stated the 4% guideline was intended as a "worst case scenario" for retirees in United States, using a hypothetical example of someone who retired in 1968 at a stock market peak before a ...
The rule was later further popularized by the Trinity study (1998), based on the same data and similar analysis. Bengen later called this rate the SAFEMAX rate, for "the maximum 'safe' historical withdrawal rate", [3] and later revised it to 4.5% if tax-free and 4.1% for taxable. [4] In low-inflation economic environments the rate may even be ...
It basically states that if you withdraw 4% of your IRA or 401(k) plan balance your first year of retirement and adjust subsequent withdrawals to match the rate of inflation, your nest egg should ...
Other authors have made similar studies using backtested and simulated market data, and other withdrawal systems and strategies. The Trinity study and others of its kind have been sharply criticized, e.g., by Scott et al. (2008), [2] not on their data or conclusions, but on what they see as an irrational and economically inefficient withdrawal strategy: "This rule and its variants finance a ...
The popular retirement strategy known as the "4% rule" may need some adjusting in 2025 and beyond. Some researchers and financial experts are warning changes may be needed based on market ...