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The likelihood ratio is a function of the data ; therefore, it is a statistic, although unusual in that the statistic's value depends on a parameter, . The likelihood-ratio test rejects the null hypothesis if the value of this statistic is too small.
Likelihood Ratio: An example "test" is that the physical exam finding of bulging flanks has a positive likelihood ratio of 2.0 for ascites. Estimated change in probability: Based on table above, a likelihood ratio of 2.0 corresponds to an approximately +15% increase in probability.
The likelihood ratio is central to likelihoodist statistics: the law of likelihood states that the degree to which data (considered as evidence) supports one parameter value versus another is measured by the likelihood ratio. In frequentist inference, the likelihood ratio is the basis for a test statistic, the so-called likelihood-ratio test.
The commonly used chi-squared tests for goodness of fit to a distribution and for independence in contingency tables are in fact approximations of the log-likelihood ratio on which the G-tests are based. [4] The general formula for Pearson's chi-squared test statistic is
^ = the maximized value of the likelihood function of the model , i.e. ^ = (^,), where {^} are the parameter values that maximize the likelihood function and is the observed data; n {\displaystyle n} = the number of data points in x {\displaystyle x} , the number of observations , or equivalently, the sample size;
A likelihood region is the set of all values of θ whose relative likelihood is greater than or equal to a given threshold. In terms of percentages, a p % likelihood region for θ is defined to be. [1] [3] [6]
Specifically, at each stage, after the removal of the highest ordered interaction, the likelihood ratio chi-square statistic is computed to measure how well the model is fitting the data. The highest ordered interactions are no longer removed when the likelihood ratio chi-square statistic becomes significant. [2]
Diagram relating pre- and post-test probabilities, with the green curve (upper left half) representing a positive test, and the red curve (lower right half) representing a negative test, for the case of 90% sensitivity and 90% specificity, corresponding to a likelihood ratio positive of 9, and a likelihood ratio negative of 0.111.