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Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P 500 price–earnings ratio (P/E) versus long-term Treasury yields (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance. [1]The P/E ratio is the inverse of the E/P ratio, and from 1921 to 1928 and 1987 to 2000, supports the Fed model (i.e. P/E ratio moves inversely to the treasury yield), however, for all other periods, the relationship of the Fed model fails; [2] [3] even ...
This work is in the public domain in the United States because it is a work prepared by an officer or employee of the United States Government as part of that person’s official duties under the terms of Title 17, Chapter 1, Section 105 of the US Code.
The 2011 S&P downgrade was the first time the US federal government was given a rating below AAA. S&P had announced a negative outlook on the AAA rating in April 2011. The downgrade to AA+ occurred four days after the 112th United States Congress voted to raise the debt ceiling of the federal government by means of the Budget Control Act of 2011 on August 2, 2011.
The U.S. is already more than $35 trillion in debt, with roughly $28 trillion of that floated in the global bond market in the form of U.S. Treasury securities. Total debt grew by more than $7.8 ...
The U.S. prime rate is in principle the interest rate at which a supermajority (3/4ths) of American banking institutions grant loans to their most creditworthy corporate clients. [1] As such, it serves as the de facto floor for private-sector lending, and is the baseline from which common "consumer" interest rates are set (e.g. credit card rates).
Market pros expect the 10-year Treasury yield to hit 3.53 percent in the next year. ... However, history, including historical returns, can be a more useful guide over the long term.” ...
On this day in 1935, the U.S. Treasury issued the first U.S. savings bonds. Where The Market Was: The S&P 500 was trading at 8.41 and the Dow closed the day at 103.27. ... The average price of a ...
A 10-year bond at purchase becomes a 9-year bond a year later, and the year after it becomes an 8-year bond, etc. Each year the bond moves incrementally closer to maturity, resulting in lower volatility and shorter duration and demanding a lower interest rate when the yield curve is rising.