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In general, if X is a real-valued random variable defined on a probability space (Ω, Σ, P), then the expected value of X, denoted by E[X], is defined as the Lebesgue integral [18] [] =. Despite the newly abstract situation, this definition is extremely similar in nature to the very simplest definition of expected values, given above, as ...
Note: The conditional expected values E( X | Z) and E( Y | Z) are random variables whose values depend on the value of Z. Note that the conditional expected value of X given the event Z = z is a function of z. If we write E( X | Z = z) = g(z) then the random variable E( X | Z) is g(Z). Similar comments apply to the conditional covariance.
For two jointly distributed real-valued random variables and with finite second moments, the covariance is defined as the expected value (or mean) of the product of their deviations from their individual expected values: [3] [4]: 119
In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...
To determine the value (), note that we rotated the plane so that the line x+y = z now runs vertically with x-intercept equal to c. So c is just the distance from the origin to the line x + y = z along the perpendicular bisector, which meets the line at its nearest point to the origin, in this case ( z / 2 , z / 2 ) {\displaystyle (z/2,z/2)\,} .
Let X n be the fraction of heads after tossing up an unbiased coin n times. Then X 1 has the Bernoulli distribution with expected value μ = 0.5 and variance σ 2 = 0.25. The subsequent random variables X 2, X 3, ... will all be distributed binomially.
This implies that in a weighted sum of variables, the variable with the largest weight will have a disproportionally large weight in the variance of the total. For example, if X and Y are uncorrelated and the weight of X is two times the weight of Y, then the weight of the variance of X will be four times the weight of the variance of Y.
The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [1] the law of iterated expectations [2] (LIE), Adam's law, [3] the tower rule, [4] and the smoothing theorem, [5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same probability space, then