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  2. Cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclically_adjusted_price...

    The cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, commonly known as CAPE, [1] Shiller P/E, or P/E 10 ratio, [2] is a stock valuation measure usually applied to the US S&P 500 equity market. It is defined as price divided by the average of ten years of earnings (moving average), adjusted for inflation. [3]

  3. 3 Highly Correlative Predictive Metrics That Strongly Suggest ...

    www.aol.com/3-highly-correlative-predictive...

    The S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio is based on average inflation-adjusted earnings over the trailing 10 years. Analyzing 10 years of earnings history smooths out the hills and valleys associated with ...

  4. The Shiller P/E Shows the Stock Market is Overvalued - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/2013-11-22-the-shiller-pe-shows...

    With the Dow and S&P 500 hitting At the same time, the S&P 500 was a sliver above 1,800 around 1:30 p.m. EST. The Shiller P/E Shows the Stock Market is Overvalued

  5. Price–earnings ratio - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price–earnings_ratio

    Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P composite real price–earnings ratio and interest rates (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance, 2d ed. [1] In the preface to this edition, Shiller warns that "the stock market has not come down to historical levels: the price–earnings ratio as I define it in this book is still, at this writing [2005], in the mid-20s, far higher than the historical average

  6. Fed model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fed_model

    Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P 500 price–earnings ratio (P/E) versus long-term Treasury yields (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance. [1]The P/E ratio is the inverse of the E/P ratio, and from 1921 to 1928 and 1987 to 2000, supports the Fed model (i.e. P/E ratio moves inversely to the treasury yield), however, for all other periods, the relationship of the Fed model fails; [2] [3] even ...

  7. The S&P is heading below 3,000. Basic math (and a metric ...

    www.aol.com/finance/p-heading-below-3-000...

    The real 10-year rate equals the yield on 10-year TIPS, or treasury inflation protected securities. The recent jump in the long bond has driven the TIPS rate to 2.37%, the highest number in 20 ...

  8. Robert J. Shiller - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_J._Shiller

    Price-earnings ratios as a predictor of twenty-year returns based on the plot by Robert Shiller (Figure 10.1, [18] [19]). The horizontal axis shows the real price-earnings ratio of the S&P Composite Stock Price Index as computed in Irrational Exuberance (inflation adjusted price divided by the prior ten-year mean of inflation-adjusted earnings ...

  9. Case-Shiller Index: Home-price gains hit another all-time high

    www.aol.com/finance/home-prices-rise-ninth...

    Case-Shiller’s 10-city index remained flat from October, rising 4.9 percent, and the 20-city index was up 4.3 percent, a nominal increase over the previous month’s 4.2 percent.