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  2. Forget polls, the stock market is the most accurate predictor ...

    www.aol.com/finance/forget-polls-stock-market...

    However, on Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction betting market, Harris and Trump are tied, with each having a 49% chance of being elected the next president of the United States. While ...

  3. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    But prediction markets tell a different story. PredictIt shows Trump’s campaign in the lead as the 2024 presidential election winner. It also has the GOP winning the presidency and the electoral ...

  4. Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now ...

    www.aol.com/heres-people-betting-prediction...

    Now that the election is over, here's what people are betting on in prediction markets. Billions of dollars were bet on the presidential election outcome via prediction market platforms like ...

  5. Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-bet...

    While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...

  6. Manifold (prediction market) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manifold_(prediction_market)

    Manifold, formerly known as Manifold Markets, is an online prediction market platform. [1] [2] Users engage in competitive forecasting using play money called 'mana', as well as 'Sweepcash,' which can be withdrawn for real money, or donated to charity. [3] Topics on Manifold have included the 2024 United States presidential election and the ...

  7. Trump leads Harris on Robinhood’s new prediction market with ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-leads-harris-robinhood...

    While Polymarket cannot operate in the United States, its U.S. election prediction market has amassed almost $3 billion worth of volume and had Trump polling around 58% on Monday.

  8. What to know about the potential $30 million whale moving ...

    www.aol.com/5-things-know-mystery-30-172117457.html

    Polymarket is a crypto-based predictions market that has become one of the most popular venues for placing online bets on upcoming elections. It was founded in 2020 and requires users to place ...

  9. 2024 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States...

    Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. [a] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the governor of Minnesota.