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The conjunction fallacy (also known as the Linda problem) is an inference that a conjoint set of two or more specific conclusions is likelier than any single member of that same set, in violation of the laws of probability. It is a type of formal fallacy.
"conjunction fallacy" published on by null. A widespread error of judgement according to which a combination of two or more attributes is judged to be more probable or likely than either attribute on its own.
What is Conjunction Fallacy? The conjunction fallacy is a common mistake in reasoning. Imagine that you’re given information about two options. One option is very specific with lots of details, and the other is more general.
What is the Conjunction Fallacy? The conjunction fallacy is a cognitive bias that occurs when someone mistakenly believes that two events occurring together are more likely than either of the two events alone.
Definition. The conjunction fallacy occurs when people assume that specific conditions are more probable than a single general one. This cognitive bias leads individuals to erroneously believe that the conjunction of two events is more likely than one of those events occurring alone.
The conjunction fallacy is an error in judgment that occurs when people overestimate the likelihood of two events happening at the same time. As a result, people assign higher probability to detailed descriptions.
Instead of trying to explain the nature or causes of the conjunction fallacy (intensional definition), we analyse its range of factual possibilities (extensional definition).
When people mistakenly believe that two events happening together is more likely than one of the events happening alone they have committed a conjunction fallacy. The individual events are...
Conjunction fallacy: When the probability of conjunction (combined) events is judged to be more likely than either of its constituents. Availability: Where easy to recall events (like natural disasters) are judged to have high probabilities of occurring.
The conjunction fallacy or conjunction effect involves judging a compound event to be more probable than one of its 2 component events. Tversky and Kahneman like to attribute the conjunction fallacy to their heuristic of judgment by similarity or representativeness, instead of by probability.