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[1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. [3]
Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each president since 1937 [4] [5] [6] [a]; Order President Highest approval Lowest approval High – Low Highest disapproval
Former first lady Michelle Obama is the only Democrat to beat former President Trump in a new poll Tuesday. The survey, conducted by Reuters/Ipsos, found Obama was the only Democrat with a lead on ...
Maps and electoral vote counts for the 2012 presidential election. Our latest estimate has Obama at 277 electoral votes and Romney at 191.
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Republicans do have an advantage in early-vote numbers [this time]. When the early votes come in, it’s going to look a little bit different than 2020, and that’s scary,” he said.
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
Maps and electoral vote counts for the 2012 presidential election. Our latest estimate has Obama at 290 electoral votes and Romney at 191.