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  2. Yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

    The British pound yield curve on February 9, 2005. This curve is unusual (inverted) in that long-term rates are lower than short-term ones. Yield curves are usually upward sloping asymptotically: the longer the maturity, the higher the yield, with diminishing marginal increases (that is, as one moves to the right, the curve flattens out).

  3. Expectations hypothesis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expectations_hypothesis

    The expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates (whose graphical representation is known as the yield curve) is the proposition that the long-term rate is determined purely by current and future expected short-term rates, in such a way that the expected final value of wealth from investing in a sequence of short-term bonds equals the final value of wealth from investing in ...

  4. IS/MP model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IS/MP_model

    The MP curve displays a positive relationship, upward-sloping curve, where the real interest rate is located on the vertical axis and inflation rate on the horizontal axis. Shifts on the MP curve are produced by actions of the Federal Reserve.

  5. The 'yield curve' is one of the most accurate predictors of a ...

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  6. Inverted yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve

    An inverted yield curve is an unusual phenomenon; bonds with shorter maturities generally provide lower yields than longer term bonds. [2] [3] To determine whether the yield curve is inverted, it is a common practice to compare the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to either a 2-year Treasury note or a 3-month Treasury bill. If the 10 ...

  7. Original sin (economics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Original_Sin_(economics)

    The fifth attempt is the slope of the yield curve. In theory, and given the existence of term premiums, issuing short-term debt is cheaper than issuing long-term debt. [13] However, refinancing risk is higher for short-term debt and frequent refinancing implies a larger risk of financing with higher interest rates.

  8. Why the blowout jobs report is tanking stocks and sending ...

    www.aol.com/why-blowout-jobs-report-tanking...

    If the upward move in bond yields continues, Americans will feel it in a big way. ... The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 9 basis points to 4.785%. Bitcoin increased 1.98% to $94,383.

  9. Business cycle - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle

    When the yield curve is inverted banks are often caught paying more on short-term deposits (or other forms of short-term wholesale funding) than they are making on long-term loans leading to a loss of profitability and reluctance to lend resulting in a credit crunch. When the yield curve is upward sloping, banks can profitably take-in short ...