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Back in 2005 hurricane Katrina brought an astonishing 27 foot storm surge to this part of the Mississippi gulf coast - the highest ever on a U.S. Coastline. Now our ability to accurately forecast ...
Tropical cyclone forecasting is the science of forecasting where a tropical cyclone's center, and its effects, are expected to be at some point in the future. There are several elements to tropical cyclone forecasting: track forecasting, intensity forecasting, rainfall forecasting, storm surge, tornado, and seasonal forecasting.
The first dynamical hurricane track forecast model, the Sanders Barotropic Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction Model (SANBAR), [9] was introduced in 1970 and was used by the National Hurricane Center as part of its operational track guidance through 1989. It was based on a simplified set of atmospheric dynamical equations (the equivalent ...
In addition, at 1700 UTC during the hurricane season, a medium-range coordination call takes place between the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center and the National Hurricane Center to coordinate tropical cyclone placement on the medium-range pressure forecasts 6 and 7 days into the future for the northeast Pacific and Atlantic basins. Every ...
The National Hurricane Center has launched a new hurricane forecasting model to help meteorologists predict more accurately what tropical systems will do. Called the Hurricane Analysis and ...
A growing array of tools to measure conditions inside one of nature's most fearsome storms saw quite a workout in the 11 hurricanes, including five landfalling hurricanes, so far this hurricane ...
The NHC official forecast is light blue, while the storm's actual track is the white line over Florida. The Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System (ATCF) is a piece of software originally developed to run on a personal computer for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) in 1988, [1] and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in 1990.
Only five other years on record have had that many Gulf hurricane landfalls: 1886, 1909, 1985, 2005, and 2020, according to Colorado State meteorologist Phil Klotzbach.