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YouGov / Barn Cymru 13 21 20 7 20 16 3-7 February 2023 [9] YouGov / Barn Cymru 15 20 21 7 20 16 25 November - 1 December 2022 [10] YouGov / Barn Cymru 14 21 23 7 20 14 20-22 September 2022 [10] YouGov 17 19 21 7 19 15 28 January – 21 February 2021 [11] BBC / ICM Unlimited 14 35 27 3 15 6 29 May – 1 June 2020 [12] ITV Wales & Cardiff ...
In July 2020, Plaid Cymru tabled a motion for Welsh ministers to seek permission from Westminster for the right of the Senedd to legislate for a Welsh independence referendum. The members of Senedd rejected this motion by 43 votes to 9. [4] This was the first time in history that Welsh independence was debated in the Senedd. [5] [6]
This was the first time Plaid Cymru had won in Ynys Môn since 2001; it was the most marginal seat in Wales with a majority of 637 votes between Plaid and Conservatives, with Labour in close third place. By the share of the vote (14.8 per cent), Plaid Cymru achieved their best ever result in UK general election. [26]
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The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
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The date range for these opinion polls was from the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election, held on 5 May 2016, to 6 May 2021 when the election for the newly named Senedd took place and was the first Welsh election which included 16 and 17-year-olds in the electoral franchise. After January 2020 most opinion polls also included this data set ...
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