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Multipotentiality is an educational and psychological term referring to the ability and preference of a person, particularly one of strong intellectual or artistic curiosity, to excel in two or more different fields. [1] [2] It can also refer to an individual whose interests span multiple fields or areas, rather than being strong in just one.
Overconfidence effect, a tendency to have excessive confidence in one's own answers to questions. For example, for certain types of questions, answers that people rate as "99% certain" turn out to be wrong 40% of the time. [5] [44] [45] [46] Planning fallacy, the tendency for people to underestimate the time it will take them to complete a ...
In a piece for the Financial Times (10 August 2018) titled "Why drink is the secret to humanity's success", Dunbar mentioned two more numbers: an inner core of about 5 people to whom we devote about 40 percent of our available social time and 10 more people to whom we devote another 20 percent. All in all, we devote about two-thirds of our time ...
Work contracts to fit in the time we give it. [4] the Asimov corollary to Parkinson's law: In ten hours a day you have time to fall twice as far behind your commitments as in five hours a day. [5] as well as corollaries relating to computers, such as: Data expands to fill the space available for storage. [6]
If people were perfectly calibrated, their 90% confidence intervals would include the correct answer 90% of the time. [16] In fact, hit rates are often as low as 50%, suggesting people have drawn their confidence intervals too narrowly, implying that they think their knowledge is more accurate than it actually is.
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With time, this inefficient learning can distort frequency perception, causing overestimation of less common events and resulting in a flattening of subjective frequency distributions. [10] Numerous studies have documented the phenomenon of frequency illusion. In a research by Begg et al, two experiments were carried out. [12]
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