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  2. Checking whether a coin is fair - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checking_whether_a_coin_is...

    The practical problem of checking whether a coin is fair might be considered as easily solved by performing a sufficiently large number of trials, but statistics and probability theory can provide guidance on two types of question; specifically those of how many trials to undertake and of the accuracy of an estimate of the probability of ...

  3. Bertrand's box paradox - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bertrand's_box_paradox

    Bertrand's box paradox: the three equally probable outcomes after the first gold coin draw. The probability of drawing another gold coin from the same box is 0 in (a), and 1 in (b) and (c). Thus, the overall probability of drawing a gold coin in the second draw is ⁠ 0 / 3 ⁠ + ⁠ 1 / 3 ⁠ + ⁠ 1 / 3 ⁠ = ⁠ 2 / 3 ⁠.

  4. Monty Hall problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

    After choosing a box at random and withdrawing one coin at random that happens to be a gold coin, the question is what is the probability that the other coin is gold. As in the Monty Hall problem, the intuitive answer is ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ , but the probability is actually ⁠ 2 / 3 ⁠ .

  5. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. [note 1] [1] [2] A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin. Since the ...

  6. Balance puzzle - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_puzzle

    1) Subdivide the coins in to 2 groups of 4 coins and a third group with the remaining 5 coins. 2) Test 1, Test the 2 groups of 4 coins against each other: a. If the coins balance, the odd coin is in the population of 5 and proceed to test 2a. b. The odd coin is among the population of 8 coins, proceed in the same way as in the 12 coins problem.

  7. Sleeping Beauty problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem

    These questions ask for the probability of two different events, and thus can have different answers, even though both events are causally dependent on the coin landing heads. (This fact is even more obvious when one considers the complementary questions: "what is the probability that two red balls were placed in the box" and "what is the ...

  8. Gambler's fallacy - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy

    A study by Fischbein and Schnarch in 1997 administered a questionnaire to five groups: students in grades 5, 7, 9, 11, and college students specializing in teaching mathematics. None of the participants had received any prior education regarding probability. The question asked was: "Ronni flipped a coin three times and in all cases heads came up.

  9. Fair coin - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fair_coin

    In probability theory and statistics, a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials with probability 1/2 of success on each trial is metaphorically called a fair coin. One for which the probability is not 1/2 is called a biased or unfair coin. In theoretical studies, the assumption that a coin is fair is often made by referring to an ideal coin.

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