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RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [ 44 ]
Trump is ahead in RCP’s aggregate of of polls in all seven battleground states — although barely in some cases. In Pennsylvania, he is up 0.6, Wisconsin 0.2, Michigan 0.2, Arizona 1.5, Nevada ...
Election Day 2024 is here, and Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in the polls. In Real Clear Politics' average of national surveys, Trump leads Harris by 0.1 percentage point, well within the ...
RCP also notes that on this day in 2016, Clinton led the polling averages by 6.0 points, and in 2020 Biden led by 7.4. Election forecasts National polls, however, don’t necessarily reflect the ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
The Republicans attacked him for being inexperienced, [23] and McCain got a temporary bump in the polls after choosing Sarah Palin as his vice-presidential nominee. The financial crisis allowed Obama to open a consistent, comfortable lead in the polls at the beginning of October, however, and he won the election by a comfortable margin. [4]
The final RealClearPolitics (RCP) average before Election Day had Clinton besting Trump by 3.2 points. In the actual results, she beat him by 2.1 points in the popular vote — while, of course ...
The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR 's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona , Georgia , Michigan , Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania , and Wisconsin .
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