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RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [ 44 ]
RCP’s final poll average gave Harris a lead of .1 (that is, one-tenth of a point) nationally. Trump is now winning by 1.7 points, yielding a miss of 1.8 for the national average — pretty close ...
The Republican National Committee determined that candidates must qualify for the first primary debate by polling above 1% in three national polls since July 2023 – or in two national polls and one poll from two different early primary states (of which the polls must meet committee standards) – as well as attract donations from at least 40,000 individuals, with at least 200 from each of 20 ...
The Emerson poll estimated Trump was ahead by 10 points. This year’s campaign produced more than a few notably off-target predictions based on intimations rather than survey data.
The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
The RealClearPolitics (RCP) polling average has had Biden running behind Trump since October, with the gap widening to a four-point Trump lead at one point in January but settling closer to a two ...
Today’s poll trend is already ugly for Harris: Yesterday, her lead in the Real Clear Politics’ national polling average was down to just 0.2 percentage points1. Past Trump trends could make it ...
After this change, Harris was able to surpass Trump in most polls, but her advantage decreased while Election Day was approaching. Eventually, Trump won the Presidency after winning in the seven swing states ( Pennsylvania , Georgia , North Carolina , Michigan , Arizona , Wisconsin and Nevada ), and winning the popular vote for the first time ...