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  2. Event chain diagram - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Event_chain_diagram

    Sometimes the same risk will be assigned to different tasks. In this case the name of risk will be the same for different arrows pointing to different bars. Risk probability and impact can be written next to the arrow. It is possible to cut names “Probability:” to “Prob:”, or just “P:”, and “Impact:” to “Imp:”, or just “I:”.

  3. Risk matrix - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_matrix

    The values on the risk axis were determined by first determining risk impact and risk probability values in a manner identical to completing a 7 x 7 version of the modern risk matrix. [8] A 5 x 4 version of the risk matrix was defined by the US Department of Defense on March 30 1984, in "MIL-STD-882B System Safety Program Requirements". [9] [10 ...

  4. Event chain methodology - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Event_chain_methodology

    Another tool that can be used to simplify the definition of events is a state table. Columns in the state table represent events; rows represent the states of an activity. Information for each event in each state includes four properties of event subscription: probability, moment of event, excited state, and impact of the event.

  5. Minimax estimator - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimax_estimator

    An example is shown on the left. The parameter space has just two elements and each point on the graph corresponds to the risk of a decision rule: the x-coordinate is the risk when the parameter is and the y-coordinate is the risk when the parameter is . In this decision problem, the minimax estimator lies on a line segment connecting two ...

  6. Decision curve analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decision_curve_analysis

    Example decision curve analysis graph with two predictors. A decision curve analysis graph is drawn by plotting threshold probability on the horizontal axis and net benefit on the vertical axis, illustrating the trade-offs between benefit (true positives) and harm (false positives) as the threshold probability (preference) is varied across a range of reasonable threshold probabilities.

  7. Probabilistic risk assessment - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_risk_assessment

    Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is a systematic and comprehensive methodology to evaluate risks associated with a complex engineered technological entity (such as an airliner or a nuclear power plant) or the effects of stressors on the environment (probabilistic environmental risk assessment, or PERA). [1]

  8. Extreme value theory - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_value_theory

    As an example, in the univariate case, given a set of observations it is straightforward to find the most extreme event simply by taking the maximum (or minimum) of the observations. However, in the bivariate case, given a set of observations ( x i , y i ) {\displaystyle \ (x_{i},y_{i})\ } , it is not immediately clear how to find the most ...

  9. Probability box - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_box

    An example p-box is shown in the figure at right for an uncertain number x consisting of a left (upper) bound and a right (lower) bound on the probability distribution for x. The bounds are coincident for values of x below 0 and above 24. The bounds may have almost any shape, including step functions, so long as they are monotonically ...