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  2. Probability of precipitation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_of_precipitation

    The Weather Channel's definition may include precipitation amounts below 0.01 inch (0.254 mm) and includes the chance of precipitation 3 hours before or after the forecast period. This latter change was described as less objective and more consumer-centric. [5] The Weather Channel has an observed wet bias – the probability of precipitation is ...

  3. Quantitative precipitation forecast - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_precipitation...

    This method has been used for years within National Weather Service forecasts, as a period's chance of rain equals the chance that 0.01 inches (0.25 mm) will fall in any particular spot. [16] In this case, it is known as probability of precipitation. These probabilities can be derived from a deterministic forecast using computer post-processing.

  4. Probabilistic forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_forecasting

    Probabilistic forecasting summarizes what is known about, or opinions about, future events. In contrast to single-valued forecasts (such as forecasting that the maximum temperature at a given site on a given day will be 23 degrees Celsius, or that the result in a given football match will be a no-score draw), probabilistic forecasts assign a probability to each of a number of different ...

  5. Why could Helene trigger massive rainfall inland? Blame the ...

    www.aol.com/why-could-helene-trigger-massive...

    The projected rainfall forecast along Helene's path across the Southeast. A good way to picture this is to think of two ice skaters who skate quickly toward each other, nearly on a collision ...

  6. Weather Prediction Center - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_Prediction_Center

    The medium range forecast products include surface pressure patterns, circulation centers and fronts, daily maximum and minimum temperatures and anomalies, probability of precipitation in 12-hour increments, total 5-day precipitation accumulation for the next five days, and 500 hPa (mb) height forecasts for days 3–7. In addition, a narrative ...

  7. Will it snow on Christmas? Maps show holiday weather forecast

    www.aol.com/news/snow-christmas-maps-show...

    Temperatures are forecast to be well above the freezing mark most places, which means precipitation will mainly be rain. Messy travel on Christmas could be found along Interstate 40, I-55, I-40, I ...

  8. Severe weather outlook: Flooding possible as 'excessive ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/weather-flooding-possible-excessive...

    Rain forecast Thursday night, Friday. The heaviest rainfall is expected to affect western and northern Oklahoma on Friday, but the area could see a few strong to severe storms Thursday night.

  9. Wet bias - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet_bias

    The NWS forecasts were unbiased, whereas those at The Weather Channel were biased for low probabilities of precipitation: when TWC predicted a 20% probability of precipitation, it had historically rained only 5% of the time, but a 70% probability of precipitation could be taken at face value.

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