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In statistics, polynomial regression is a form of regression analysis in which the relationship between the independent variable x and the dependent variable y is modeled as an nth degree polynomial in x. Polynomial regression fits a nonlinear relationship between the value of x and the corresponding conditional mean of y, denoted E(y |x).
If the data exhibit a trend, the regression model is likely incorrect; for example, the true function may be a quadratic or higher order polynomial. If they are random, or have no trend, but "fan out" - they exhibit a phenomenon called heteroscedasticity. If all of the residuals are equal, or do not fan out, they exhibit homoscedasticity.
For example, a simple univariate regression may propose (,) = +, suggesting that the researcher believes = + + to be a reasonable approximation for the statistical process generating the data. Once researchers determine their preferred statistical model , different forms of regression analysis provide tools to estimate the parameters β ...
Regression analysis – use of statistical techniques for learning about the relationship between one or more dependent variables (Y) and one or more independent variables (X). Overview articles [ edit ]
96% confidence bands around a local polynomial fit to botanical data. A confidence band is used in statistical analysis to represent the uncertainty in an estimate of a curve or function based on limited or noisy data. Similarly, a prediction band is used to represent the uncertainty about the value of a new data-point on the curve, but subject ...
In 1815, an article on optimal designs for polynomial regression was published by Joseph Diaz Gergonne, according to Stigler. Charles S. Peirce proposed an economic theory of scientific experimentation in 1876, which sought to maximize the precision of the estimates.
For example, if the functional form of the model does not match the data, R 2 can be high despite a poor model fit. Anscombe's quartet consists of four example data sets with similarly high R 2 values, but data that sometimes clearly does not fit the regression line. Instead, the data sets include outliers, high-leverage points, or non-linearities.
In statistics, nonlinear regression is a form of regression analysis in which observational data are modeled by a function which is a nonlinear combination of the model parameters and depends on one or more independent variables. The data are fitted by a method of successive approximations (iterations).