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  2. The 2024 election could come down to a single tipping ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/2024-election-could-come-down...

    In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...

  3. Who is winning 2024 US presidential election today? Current ...

    www.aol.com/winning-2024-us-presidential...

    The polls and odds are constantly in flux, but you can find the latest polls we could find for each candidate as of 6 a.m. on Nov. 5, 2024: ABC News project 538 : The final poll shows Harris with ...

  4. Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win two ...

    www.aol.com/election-day-2024-live-results...

    ABC News is projecting that Harris will win New Mexico's five electoral votes. ABC News is also projecting the state's U.S. Senate race for the Democratic incumbent, Martin Heinrich. Nov 6, 12:20 AM

  5. Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling...

    Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage

  6. 2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump

    www.aol.com/2024-polls-were-accurate-still...

    According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...

  7. List of United States presidential elections by Electoral ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States...

    The margin of victory in a presidential election is the difference between the number of Electoral College votes garnered by the candidate with an absolute majority of electoral votes (since 1964, it has been 270 out of 538) and the number received by the second place candidate (currently in the range of 2 to 538, a margin of one vote is only possible with an odd total number of electors or a ...

  8. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...

  9. Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still ...

    www.aol.com/trump-gained-538s-forecast-election...

    Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...