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  2. Expected value - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

    v. t. e. In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, expectation operator, mathematical expectation, mean, expectation value, or first moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. Informally, the expected value is the mean of the possible values a random variable can take, weighted by the probability ...

  3. Conditional expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_expectation

    Conditional expectation. In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can ...

  4. Law of total expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_expectation

    Law of total expectation. The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [1] the law of iterated expectations[2] (LIE), Adam's law, [3] the tower rule, [4] and the smoothing theorem, [5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same ...

  5. Geometric distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geometric_distribution

    Definition. The geometric distribution is the discrete probability distribution that describes when the first success in an infinite sequence of independent and identically distributed Bernoulli trials occurs. Its probability mass function depends on its parameterization and support.

  6. Poisson distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution

    In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution (/ ˈ p w ɑː s ɒ n /; French pronunciation:) is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. [1]

  7. Continuous uniform distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous_uniform...

    In probability theory and statistics, the continuous uniform distributions or rectangular distributions are a family of symmetric probability distributions. Such a distribution describes an experiment where there is an arbitrary outcome that lies between certain bounds. [1]

  8. Law of total variance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_variance

    Law of total variance. In probability theory, the law of total variance[1] or variance decomposition formula or conditional variance formulas or law of iterated variances also known as Eve's law, [2] states that if and are random variables on the same probability space, and the variance of is finite, then. {\displaystyle \operatorname {Var} (Y ...

  9. Expected return - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_return

    The expected return (or expected gain) on a financial investment is the expected value of its return (of the profit on the investment). It is a measure of the center of the distribution of the random variable that is the return. [1] It is calculated by using the following formula: where. is the return in scenario ; is the probability for the ...