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  2. Models of scientific inquiry - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Models_of_scientific_inquiry

    A theory is a hypothesis that has survived many tests and seems to be consistent with other established scientific theories. Since a theory is a promoted hypothesis, it is of the same 'logical' species and shares the same logical limitations. Just as a hypothesis cannot be proven but can be disproved, that same is true for a theory.

  3. Extrapolation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extrapolation

    In mathematics, extrapolation is a type of estimation, beyond the original observation range, of the value of a variable on the basis of its relationship with another variable. It is similar to interpolation , which produces estimates between known observations, but extrapolation is subject to greater uncertainty and a higher risk of producing ...

  4. Bayesian inference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference

    Bayesian inference (/ ˈ b eɪ z i ə n / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈ b eɪ ʒ ən / BAY-zhən) [1] is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to calculate a probability of a hypothesis, given prior evidence, and update it as more information becomes available.

  5. Likelihood-ratio test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood-ratio_test

    Low values of the likelihood ratio mean that the observed result was much less likely to occur under the null hypothesis as compared to the alternative. High values of the statistic mean that the observed outcome was nearly as likely to occur under the null hypothesis as the alternative, and so the null hypothesis cannot be rejected.

  6. Bayesian probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_probability

    Bayesian probability (/ ˈ b eɪ z i ə n / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈ b eɪ ʒ ən / BAY-zhən) [1] is an interpretation of the concept of probability, in which, instead of frequency or propensity of some phenomenon, probability is interpreted as reasonable expectation [2] representing a state of knowledge [3] or as quantification of a personal belief.

  7. Foundations of statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundations_of_statistics

    Whether it is justifiable to reject a hypothesis based on a low probability without knowing the probability of an alternative; Whether a hypothesis could ever be accepted based solely on data In mathematics, deduction proves, while counter-examples disprove. In the Popperian philosophy of science, progress is made when theories are disproven.

  8. Bootstrapping (statistics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bootstrapping_(statistics)

    The bootstrap may also be used for constructing hypothesis tests. [5] It is often used as an alternative to statistical inference based on the assumption of a parametric model when that assumption is in doubt, or where parametric inference is impossible or requires complicated formulas for the calculation of standard errors .

  9. Hypothesis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothesis

    The hypothesis of Andreas Cellarius, showing the planetary motions in eccentric and epicyclical orbits. A hypothesis (pl.: hypotheses) is a proposed explanation for a phenomenon. A scientific hypothesis must be based on observations and make a testable and reproducible prediction about reality, in a process beginning with an educated guess or ...