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To model a time series using an ARCH process, ... is a strong white noise process. The series ... the best test is the White test.
White noise draws its name from white light, [2] although light that appears white generally does not have a flat power spectral density over the visible band. An image of salt-and-pepper noise In discrete time , white noise is a discrete signal whose samples are regarded as a sequence of serially uncorrelated random variables with zero mean ...
The notation () indicates an autoregressive model of order p.The AR(p) model is defined as = = + where , …, are the parameters of the model, and is white noise. [1] [2] This can be equivalently written using the backshift operator B as
First, white noise is a generalized stochastic process with independent values at each time. [12] Hence it plays the role of a generalized system of independent coordinates, in the sense that in various contexts it has been fruitful to express more general processes occurring e.g. in engineering or mathematical finance, in terms of white noise.
Two simulated time series processes, one stationary and the other non-stationary, are shown above. The augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test statistic is reported for each process; non-stationarity cannot be rejected for the second process at a 5% significance level. White noise is the simplest example of a stationary process.
If the forecasting method is working correctly, successive innovations are uncorrelated with each other, i.e., constitute a white noise time series. Thus it can be said that the innovation time series is obtained from the measurement time series by a process of 'whitening', or removing the predictable component.
In statistics, the Dickey–Fuller test tests the null hypothesis that a unit root is present in an autoregressive (AR) time series model. The alternative hypothesis is different depending on which version of the test is used, but is usually stationarity or trend-stationarity .
The augmented Dickey–Fuller test assesses the stability of IMF and trend components. For stationary time series, the ARMA model is used, while for non-stationary series, LSTM models are used to derive abstract features. The final value is obtained by reconstructing the predicted outcomes of each time series.