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  2. Frequency of exceedance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frequency_of_exceedance

    Thus, the mean time between peaks, including the residence time or mean time before the very first peak, is the inverse of the frequency of exceedance N −1 (y max). If the number of peaks exceeding y max grows as a Poisson process, then the probability that at time t there has not yet been any peak exceeding y max is e −N(y max)t. [6] Its ...

  3. Cumulative frequency analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cumulative_frequency_analysis

    Cumulative frequency is also called frequency of non-exceedance. Cumulative frequency analysis is performed to obtain insight into how often a certain phenomenon (feature) is below a certain value. This may help in describing or explaining a situation in which the phenomenon is involved, or in planning interventions, for example in flood ...

  4. Probability distribution fitting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution...

    An estimate of the uncertainty in the first and second case can be obtained with the binomial probability distribution using for example the probability of exceedance Pe (i.e. the chance that the event X is larger than a reference value Xr of X) and the probability of non-exceedance Pn (i.e. the chance that the event X is smaller than or equal ...

  5. Return period - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_period

    The theoretical return period between occurrences is the inverse of the average frequency of occurrence. For example, a 10-year flood has a 1/10 = 0.1 or 10% chance of being exceeded in any one year and a 50-year flood has a 0.02 or 2% chance of being exceeded in any one year.

  6. Template:Probability distributions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Probability...

    Template documentation. Use one of the following depending on the transcluding article. ... {Probability distributions|discrete-finite}} {{Probability distributions ...

  7. Buffered probability of exceedance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buffered_probability_of...

    Buffered probability of exceedance (bPOE) is a function of a random variable used in statistics and risk management, including financial risk. The bPOE is the probability of a tail with known mean value . The figure shows the bPOE at threshold (marked in red) as the blue shaded area.

  8. Gumbel distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gumbel_distribution

    Gumbel has also shown that the estimator r ⁄ (n+1) for the probability of an event — where r is the rank number of the observed value in the data series and n is the total number of observations — is an unbiased estimator of the cumulative probability around the mode of the distribution.

  9. Cumulative distribution function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cumulative_distribution...

    Cumulative distribution function for the exponential distribution Cumulative distribution function for the normal distribution. In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable, or just distribution function of , evaluated at , is the probability that will take a value less than or equal to .

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