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  2. Expected value - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

    According to this definition, E[X] exists and is finite if and only if E[X +] and E[X −] are both finite. Due to the formula |X| = X + + X −, this is the case if and only if E|X| is finite, and this is equivalent to the absolute convergence conditions in the definitions above. As such, the present considerations do not define finite ...

  3. Conditional expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_expectation

    In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...

  4. Expected return - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_return

    is the probability for the return in scenario ; and is the number of scenarios. The expected rate of return is the expected return per currency unit (e.g., dollar) invested. It is computed as the expected return divided by the amount invested.

  5. Conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability

    Given two events A and B from the sigma-field of a probability space, with the unconditional probability of B being greater than zero (i.e., P(B) > 0), the conditional probability of A given B (()) is the probability of A occurring if B has or is assumed to have happened. [5]

  6. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    Sometimes the probability of "the value of for the parameter value " is written as P(X = x | θ) or P(X = x; θ). The likelihood is the probability that a particular outcome is observed when the true value of the parameter is , equivalent to the probability mass on ; it is not a probability density over the parameter .

  7. Probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution

    For instance, if X is used to denote the outcome of a coin toss ("the experiment"), then the probability distribution of X would take the value 0.5 (1 in 2 or 1/2) for X = heads, and 0.5 for X = tails (assuming that the coin is fair). More commonly, probability distributions are used to compare the relative occurrence of many different random ...

  8. Log-normal distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Log-normal_distribution

    A probability distribution is not uniquely determined by the moments E[X n] = e nμ + ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ n 2 σ 2 for n ≥ 1. That is, there exist other distributions with the same set of moments. [4] In fact, there is a whole family of distributions with the same moments as the log-normal distribution. [citation needed]

  9. Exponential distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_distribution

    In probability theory and statistics, the exponential distribution or negative exponential distribution is the probability distribution of the distance between events in a Poisson point process, i.e., a process in which events occur continuously and independently at a constant average rate; the distance parameter could be any meaningful mono-dimensional measure of the process, such as time ...