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  2. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    Based on incidence rate, the following table presents the corresponding numbers per 100,000 people. ... Using pedigree to calculate probabilities. Hypothesis

  3. Probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution

    The pmf allows the computation of probabilities of events such as (>) = / + / + / = /, and all other probabilities in the distribution. Figure 4: The probability mass function of a discrete probability distribution. The probabilities of the singletons {1}, {3}, and {7} are respectively 0.2, 0.5, 0.3. A set not containing any of these points has ...

  4. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    The probabilities of rolling several numbers using two dice. Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur.

  5. Bayesian inference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference

    Bayesian inference (/ ˈ b eɪ z i ə n / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈ b eɪ ʒ ən / BAY-zhən) [1] is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to calculate a probability of a hypothesis, given prior evidence, and update it as more information becomes available.

  6. Binomial distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution

    The following is an example of applying a continuity correction. Suppose one wishes to calculate Pr(X ≤ 8) for a binomial random variable X. If Y has a distribution given by the normal approximation, then Pr(X ≤ 8) is approximated by Pr(Y ≤ 8.5). The addition of 0.5 is the continuity correction; the uncorrected normal approximation gives ...

  7. Binomial test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_test

    The binomial test is useful to test hypotheses about the probability of success: : = where is a user-defined value between 0 and 1.. If in a sample of size there are successes, while we expect , the formula of the binomial distribution gives the probability of finding this value:

  8. Expected value - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

    Since the probabilities must satisfy p 1 + ⋅⋅⋅ + p k = 1, it is natural to interpret E[X] as a weighted average of the x i values, with weights given by their probabilities p i. In the special case that all possible outcomes are equiprobable (that is, p 1 = ⋅⋅⋅ = p k), the weighted average is given by the standard average. In the ...

  9. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    This follows from the definition of independence in probability: the probabilities of two independent events happening, given a model, is the product of the probabilities. This is particularly important when the events are from independent and identically distributed random variables, such as independent observations or sampling with ...