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  2. Conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability

    In this situation, the event A can be analyzed by a conditional probability with respect to B. If the event of interest is A and the event B is known or assumed to have occurred, "the conditional probability of A given B", or "the probability of A under the condition B", is usually written as P(A|B) [2] or occasionally P B (A).

  3. Conditional probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability...

    Given , the Radon-Nikodym theorem implies that there is [3] a -measurable random variable ():, called the conditional probability, such that () = for every , and such a random variable is uniquely defined up to sets of probability zero. A conditional probability is called regular if ⁡ () is a probability measure on (,) for all a.e.

  4. Conditioning (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditioning_(probability)

    Conditional probabilities, conditional expectations, and conditional probability distributions are treated on three levels: discrete probabilities, probability density functions, and measure theory. Conditioning leads to a non-random result if the condition is completely specified; otherwise, if the condition is left random, the result of ...

  5. Monty Hall problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

    [50] [13] [49] The conditional probability of winning by switching is ⁠ 1/3 / 1/3 + 1/6 ⁠, which is ⁠ 2 / 3 ⁠. [2] The conditional probability table below shows how 300 cases, in all of which the player initially chooses door 1, would be split up, on average, according to the location of the car and the choice of door to open by the host.

  6. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    The conditional opinion | generalizes the probabilistic conditional (|), i.e. in addition to assigning a probability the source can assign any subjective opinion to the conditional statement (|). A binomial subjective opinion ω A S {\displaystyle \omega _{A}^{S}} is the belief in the truth of statement A {\displaystyle A} with degrees of ...

  7. Confusion of the inverse - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confusion_of_the_inverse

    Confusion of the inverse, also called the conditional probability fallacy or the inverse fallacy, is a logical fallacy whereupon a conditional probability is equated with its inverse; that is, given two events A and B, the probability of A happening given that B has happened is assumed to be about the same as the probability of B given A, when there is actually no evidence for this assumption.

  8. Conditional probability table - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability_table

    In statistics, the conditional probability table (CPT) is defined for a set of discrete and mutually dependent random variables to display conditional probabilities of a single variable with respect to the others (i.e., the probability of each possible value of one variable if we know the values taken on by the other variables).

  9. Conditional independence - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_independence

    In probability theory, conditional independence describes situations wherein an observation is irrelevant or redundant when evaluating the certainty of a hypothesis. . Conditional independence is usually formulated in terms of conditional probability, as a special case where the probability of the hypothesis given the uninformative observation is equal to the probability

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