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A higher volatility stock, with the same expected return of 7% but with annual volatility of 20%, would indicate returns from approximately negative 33% to positive 47% most of the time (19 times out of 20, or 95%). These estimates assume a normal distribution; in reality stock price movements are found to be leptokurtotic (fat-tailed).
Whether it’s demand-pull or cost-push inflation or a combination, inflation affects the stock market. For example, moderate to low inflation — when prices rise less than 3 percent — can ...
The overall annual consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.9% in December, up from 2.7% in November but in line with Reuters' average economist forecast. However, the core rate that excludes the ...
Example of historical stock price data (top half) with the typical presentation of a MACD(12,26,9) indicator (bottom half). The blue line is the MACD series proper, the difference between the 12-day and 26-day EMAs of the price. The red line is the average or signal series, a 9-day EMA of the MACD series.
One-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.3% in February from 3.3% last month, marking the the fifth time in 14 years that the survey reported a rise of 1 percentage point or more in year-ahead ...
Momentum is the change in an N-day simple moving average (SMA) between yesterday and today, with a scale factor N+1, i.e. + = This is the slope or steepness of the SMA line, like a derivative. This relationship is not much discussed generally, but it's of interest in understanding the signals from the indicator.
Inflation has cooled substantially this year but has moved sideways in recent months, prompting the Fed to take a more cautious approach to rate cuts in the coming year.
For the 20-year period to the end of 2008, the inflation-adjusted market return was about 5.3% on average per year. The average investor managed to turn $1 million into $800,000, against $2.7 million for the index (after fund costs). [25]