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r/fivethirtyeight: Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond.
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Quinnipiac National Poll: Biden-Trump Matchup Margin Razor Thin With Nearly 1 In 5 Voters Likely To Change Their Minds, Biden +1 (48/47), +3 (41/38/14/2/2)
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Echelon Swing States Poll: Trump +6 (51/45) in Arizona, +10 (52/42) in Georgia, +6 (51/45) in Michigan, +7 (51/44) in Nevada, +4 (49/45) in Pennslyvania.
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Economist/YouGov Post-Conviction Poll: Tied (42/42/3/1/1) [No real change]
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online G Elliott Morris on Twitter: " The difference between Biden’s margin in the Electoral College tipping point state (likely PA, others possible) and the national popular vote is closer to 1.5 points in our forecast ...
I pretty much stopped listening to the podcast when Clare Malone got fired. I'm not sure who the target audience is anymore for fivethirtyeight in general is without Nate, Perry, and the other staff they laid off. You'd think converting them into ABC politics would defeat the purpose of the acquisition in the first place.
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Economist/Yougov National Poll: Trump +1 in 5-way (44/43/3/1/1)
Compared to consensus Vegas Odds - which is I think a fair benchmark - FiveThirtyEight's projections performs basically identically. On average, Vegas's predicted win total was off by 6.93 wins for a given team, while FiveThirtyEight was off by 7.27 wins.
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Why has the media continued to downplay and underestimate Donald Trump's support in the Primary or his chances at winning the Presidency again in 2023?
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online AP Poll says Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders in the US more likely to “believe in climate change”