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Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Kamala Harris? Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of...
538’s 2024 Senate election forecast model showing Democratic and Republican chances of winning control.
According to 538’s final presidential forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris has a 50-in-100 chance of winning the Electoral College after all votes are counted (which could take a few days). We give former President Donald Trump a 49-in-100 chance to win.*
ABC News reports that Republican Dave McCormick is projected to defeat Democratic Sen. Bob Casey Jr. in Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate race. Casey conceded the race on Thursday. The not-yet-finalized results from Pennsylvania give McCormick about a 0.2-point lead, 48.8% to 48.6% — a raw vote lead of about 16,000 votes out of nearly 7 million cast.
On Wednesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the U.S. Senate.The model powering this forecast combines our polling averages for each Senate race with other quantitative and ...
On Wednesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the U.S. Senate. The model powering this forecast combines our polling averages for each Senate race with other quantitative and qualitative data to figure out which candidates are likely to win in each state.
538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning. ... How 538's 2024 Senate ...
What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? Kyrsten Sinema Is Confounding Her Own Party. But … Why? FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories...
Democrats have a narrow path to Senate control after 2024, but it’s narrow indeed, and one that might require the GOP continuing to nominate bad candidates — and a fair share of luck.
The forecasts, like those from Decision Desk HQ, Nate Silver and 538, are now ubiquitous, but their accuracy is hard to measure. By Kaleigh Rogers Kaleigh Rogers has been covering election polling ...